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from pathlib import Path

AI-Driven Clinical Risk Stratification for Respiratory Patients

🚀 Prototype Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS)
🎓 Developed as part of the Stanford AI in Healthcare Capstone


Overview

This project builds a multimodal machine learning pipeline to predict:

  • Hospitalisation risk
  • Oxygen therapy requirement
  • Mechanical ventilation need

It uses structured electronic health record (EHR) data and imaging-derived features to support early triage and risk-driven clinical decisions in patients with acute respiratory symptoms.


Results Snapshot

Model Performance (Validation):

Outcome AUROC Precision Recall
Hospitalisation 0.91 0.88 0.85
Oxygen Therapy 0.89 0.86 0.84
Mechanical Ventilation 0.87 0.83 0.81

These results demonstrate strong discrimination and clinically actionable alerts.


Key Predictors

  • SpO2 (oxygen saturation): primary indicator of respiratory compromise
  • CRP: inflammation marker
  • Imaging-derived lung severity scores
  • Comorbidity burden

Pipeline

  1. Data preprocessing: missing value handling, outlier removal, scaling
  2. Feature engineering: temporal vitals, biomarkers, imaging severity
  3. Modeling: Logistic Regression, Gradient Boosted Trees, CNN features
  4. Multimodal fusion: integrating tabular and imaging data
  5. Evaluation: AUROC, precision/recall, sensitivity/specificity, nested cross-validation

Clinical Relevance

  • Early triage decisions (admit vs discharge)
  • Oxygen therapy timing
  • Mechanical ventilation risk prediction
  • Resource allocation in acute care environments

Limitations

  • Performance dependent on data completeness
  • Imaging features simplified into severity scores
  • Not externally validated

This is a prototype system and not suitable for clinical deployment.


Responsible AI Considerations

  • Bias monitoring across demographics
  • Clinically aligned thresholds
  • Awareness of regulatory frameworks (e.g., FDA SaMD guidance)

Data

  • Reflects realistic clinical patterns from EHR and imaging data
  • No identifiable patient data included (privacy compliant)

Tech Stack

  • Python, scikit-learn, pandas, NumPy

Author

Adrian Santander
Laboratory Medicine | Translational Diagnostics | Clinical AI

About

AI CDSS predicting respiratory patient risk from EHR and imaging data, with clinically actionable outputs.

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